The Experts Got the 2023 Market Forecasts Wrong. 3 Key Takeaways You Can Use Now.

2023 was a great year for the economy and investment markets. The S&P 500 was up 26.3%, international large and mid-sized company stocks were up 18.9% and US corporate bonds were up 5.5%. And the U.S. did not go into a recession. Which of the pundits got these predictions right for 2023? None of them. What’s it all mean? Here are 3 takeaways you can use:

  1. Don’t listen to experts/pundits when it comes to predicting the future. Most of the time they get it wrong. When they ocassionally do get it right, they will tell you about it. Over and over again! Which makes you think they are right more than they are wrong which isn’t the case. This goes for financial advisors too. If someone claims they have the “secret” for beating the markets. Don’t walk: RUN away! The key to your long-term investment success is finding a firm/advisor who spends time understanding your goals, your investment risk tolerance and offers ongoing education and coaching.
  2. Study what works. Do your homework. I recommend reading the Wall Street Journal and the strategies of long-term investment success.(want things to read? Reach out) Historically, what works is building a portfolio and sticking to it. Action, many times, is not good for long term investment success.
  3. Have a diversified long-term investment strategy. Understand yourself and how much risk you want to take on your long-term investing. Put a portfolio together and stick to it. Would you like a risk assessment? Let us know! We’ll email you one.

We are here to help you implement these takeaways. Let’s chat.

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This material is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. Investing involves risk including the possible loss of principal.

The S&P 500 is a stock market index tracking the stock performance of 500 of the largest companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States. Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P500) is a capitalization-weighted index of 500 stocks designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks representing all major industries.
The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index represents the U.S. investment-grade fixed-rate bond market. This index is unmanaged, and its results include reinvested dividends and/or distributions but do not reflect the effect of sales charges, commissions, account fees, expenses or U.S. federal income taxes.

Bonds are subject to market and interest rate risk if sold prior to maturity. Bond values will decline as interest rates rise and bonds are subject to availability and change in price.

This material is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. There is no assurance that the views or strategies discussed are suitable for all investors or will yield positive outcomes. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change.

There is no guarantee that a diversified portfolio will enhance overall returns or outperform a non-diversified portfolio. Diversification does not protect against market risk.

Market Index captures broad US equity coverage. The index includes 3,204 constituents across large, mid, small and micro capitalizations, about 99% of the US equity universe. Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.
International investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability and may not be suitable for all investors. These risks are often heightened for investments in emerging markets.

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